President Donald Trump goes to the Beto O & # 39; Rourke country Monday night and returns to the campaign path in El Paso, the Texas border town where the former Democratic Congressman and potential Trump enemy were from 2020.
The president set fire to a number of Democrats who were already running. But he made several shots at O & # 39; Rourke, the kind of youthful candidate who might come into contact with both progressives and workers who broke up in 2016 for Trump in key states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan.
The last time the president was on Texas soil, he could not fail to make a mistake at O & # 39; Rourke.
"He lost and he wants to run for president," said Trump in January of the former Congressman, who failed in his senate challenge at GOP, the incumbent Ted Cruz. I thought you had to win to become president, & # 39; Trump said with a grin.
Flashback: Trump – & # 39; I think Beto O & # 39; Rourke is greatly overrated & # 39;
A senior official at the White House recently said that the president himself decides which of the 20 – or more – candidates from the Democratic 2020 agenda he will address through tweets and public comments.
The officially recognized O & # 39; Rourke drew the attention of the president during his race against Cruz, but downplayed the El Paso rally mainly focused on the potential candidate 2020, and said that Trump is expected to focus primarily on "the framing of the crisis at the border and explain to the American people what good things happen when you have walls or barriers at a border. "
But several polls suggest that Trump, whose political instincts may not be underestimated even by some democratic strategists, would be wise to launch an early campaign misspelling against O & # 39; Rourke.
[[[[Trump, Schiff goes to war when the call for President's unity quickly disappears]
One, by Public Policy Polling, shows O & # 39; Rourke with a 6-point lead over Trump in a hypothetical one-on-one race. A poll from Emerson College to registered Iowa voters gave Trump a six point lead over the former congressman.
Indeed, several polls that have been held in recent months have placed Rourke in third or fourth place in the potential democratic field of 2020, with only former vice president Joe Biden and a handful of senators – Bernie Sanders from Vermont, Kamala Harris from California and Elizabeth Warren from Massachusetts.
These surveys suggest that O & # 39; Rourke is strong in the battle of 2020, even though it is not yet a concept. He tried to change that with a recent interview with Oprah Winfrey.
During the 50-minute exchange, O & # 39; Rourke described a methodical process to decide whether he would run. And he told her that during his loss to Cruz he had learned "a lot".
"I think that at a time when our politics were so heavily written and tested and safe, there was something new and maybe even dangerous or different about how we led this campaign," he said, indicating that he feels excluded. de-cuff and authentic 2020 approach would be most effective and plans to make a final call at the end of the month.
Winfrey told him that she agreed to take the interview to determine if he had the & # 39; real deal & # 39; used to be. Trump has done his best to express doubt.
"Beto O & # 39; Rourke is one totally light weight compared to Ted Cruz, and he does not come close to the values and desires of the people of the great state of Texas. He will never be allowed to change Texas in Venezuela! ", Tweeted the president on October 19, the latter a reference to his common – although unfounded – claim that Democrats want to install a rigid socialist government and economy.
Two days earlier, Trump retired from another post in which the Democrat was compared to the former GOP Sen. Jeff Flake, whose president often said they had no bowel strength. "Looked at the debate last night and Beto O & # 39; Rourke, who wants higher taxes and a lot more rules, is not in the same league with Ted Cruz and what the great people of Texas mean for &," he wrote. "Ted is strong on Crime, Border & 2nd A, loves our army, veterinarians and low taxes. Beto is a flake!"
One Republican pollster noted that O & # 39; Rourke had not yet conducted a poll, but said he could keep the president in mind, because "could he get some kind of organic movement like in the senate race?"
On Wednesday, Trump grimly answered a question about home intelligence chairman Adam Schiff, who announced a far-reaching investigation of his campaign for 2016 and possible links with Russians. Reporters tried to ask other questions, including a Roll Call reporter who asked whether the trip to El Paso was planned because he sees O & # 39; Rourke as a threat.
But the president was not in the mood. He took one last look at the journalists in the Roosevelt room after his announcement of David Malpass as his appointment as president of the World Bank and left without answering another question.
Trump's journey to Texas will also serve a different purpose, putting pressure on Democratic congressmen during a prime-time phase, just a few days before the February 15 deadline to complete a border security agreement.
During Tuesday's State of the Union address, the president made a pitch for what he called "a smart, strategic, transparent steel barrier – not just a simple concrete wall," using the kind of barrier vocabulary he spoke about as a candidate and during the first two years of his presidency.
[[[[ANALYSIS: after calls for unity Trump sets the table for the re-election fight in 2020]
"The border town of El Paso, Texas, had an extremely high number of violent crimes – one of the highest in the country and considered one of the most dangerous cities in our country." Now, with a powerful barrier in place, El Paso is a from our safest cities, "Trump said.
That claim is not supported by facts and led to a deluge of calls to the president to correct the record.
The border structure there was increased in 2008. Data from the FBI crime indicate that violent crimes there began to reject in 2006. Data collected by SAGE Publishing placed the city 254 in a national ranking of most violent American cities.
The number of murders in the city in 2005 was 2.5 for every 100,000 inhabitants, compared with a national figure of 5.6. By 2010, the number of murders had dropped to 0.9 for every 100,000 inhabitants, compared with a national average of 4.8, according to the Associated Press.
"El Paso has never been one of the most dangerous cities in the country and our safety and security has long been a matter of pride." These disruptions to our vibrant community are detrimental to our reputation and affect our mind, "wrote the democratic representative Veronica Escobar, the successor of O & # 39; Rourke, to the president on Friday.
O & # 39; Rourke and Escobar will post a number of Trump counter-programs on Monday before the president's demonstration, with a press release with Linda Rivas from Women & # 39; s March El Paso and Fernando Garcia, executive director of the Border Network for Human Rights and participation in a March and demonstration with those groups and other community leaders.
El Paso Sheriff Richard Wiles, former police commander of El Paso, issued a statement calling the President's statement. "It's sad to hear President Trump say untruths about El Paso, Texas, in an effort to justify the construction of a 2,000-mile wall, and the facts are clear, although it's true that El Paso is one of the safest cities in the world. it has never been considered one of the most dangerous cities in our country, and El Paso was a safe city long before a wall was built, and President Trump continues to give a false story about a big city that truly represents where this big nation turns around, "said Wiles Wednesday.
Eugene Kiely, director of non-partisan FactCheck.org, tweeted this after Trump's El Paso SOTU claims: "Trump repeatedly claims, as he did in the #SOTU, that a border fence immediately transformed El Paso from one of the most dangerous cities in the nation to one of the safest. "The tweet contained a video with at the top a large image in which the claim" FALSE "was mentioned.
Trump repeatedly claims, as he did in the #SOTUthat a border fence immediately transformed El Paso from one of the most dangerous cities in the nation to one of the safest. Here is our video to straighten the story: pic.twitter.com/BXgh6DfMil
– Eugene Kiely (@ekiely) February 6, 2019
But it is unlikely that Trump will follow such statements, because he did very little during his term of office. The background is one that he will probably use to reinforce his message.
"If he goes to El Paso, he can start next week, the border talks are the most important event, with another shutdown possible," said the GOP surveyor. "El Paso has long been a concern around the border, I would expect him to really concentrate on that, and try to keep defending his arguments about walls."
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